Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.637348 0.721318 0.810636 0.912545 1.025427 1.146457 1.285865
2025-09-28 0.496606 0.611367 0.742300 0.902031 1.090877 1.306246 1.569620
2025-10-05 0.417974 0.555946 0.723717 0.940980 1.212932 1.539986 1.960724
2025-10-12 0.356202 0.509458 0.707172 0.977554 1.333790 1.782781 2.386458
2025-10-19 0.297603 0.456482 0.673347 0.985487 1.416683 1.983887 2.777419
2025-10-26 0.250170 0.410235 0.640691 0.988582 1.490527 2.176889 3.171945
2025-11-02 0.211932 0.370490 0.610625 0.989649 1.558913 2.365336 3.572666
2025-11-09 0.180980 0.336439 0.583494 0.990115 1.624005 2.551592 3.981547
2025-11-16 0.156550 0.308658 0.561683 0.994785 1.693648 2.747191 4.415088
2025-11-23 0.133929 0.279961 0.534056 0.985915 1.739670 2.908676 4.806548
2025-11-30 0.119419 0.263358 0.524246 1.004357 1.829223 3.140900 5.317798
2025-12-07 0.103040 0.240277 0.499737 0.994243 1.869615 3.297003 5.718557
2025-12-14 0.091573 0.225253 0.488310 1.006435 1.949475 3.523257 6.247503
2025-12-21 0.078410 0.204261 0.462693 0.989655 1.977016 3.664801 6.647605
2025-12-28 0.072710 0.198657 0.466525 1.028390 2.106149 3.984326 7.359042
2026-01-04 0.067431 0.193067 0.469577 1.065633 2.235014 4.310673 8.099292
2026-01-11 0.060196 0.181397 0.458227 1.072747 2.307646 4.542719 8.690462
2026-01-18 0.053518 0.169793 0.445385 1.075170 2.370903 4.761041 9.268403
2026-01-25 0.047556 0.158837 0.432439 1.075744 2.430010 4.974477 9.847748
2026-02-01 0.042306 0.148724 0.420007 1.075883 2.487718 5.187847 10.436756
2026-02-08 0.037948 0.140225 0.410228 1.080673 2.554776 5.421719 11.073526
2026-02-15 0.033384 0.130069 0.394876 1.070996 2.590581 5.597546 11.611198
2026-02-22 0.030699 0.125207 0.392336 1.090721 2.689700 5.900049 12.398049